H2 2020 Global Off-Grid Solar Market Report

Every six months, GOGLA and The World Bank Group’s Lighting Global program publish the Global Off-Grid Solar Market Report, a market intelligence series on sales and impact of off-grid solar lighting products, sold by GOGLA and Lighting Global affiliates. Since H2 2018, the report also includes sales numbers of off-grid appliances, in partnership with the Efficiency for Access Coalition.

July – December 2020 Global Off-Grid Solar Market Report

 

  • The off-grid industry is showing early signs of a slow but uneven recovery from the economic shock triggered by the COVID-19 pandemic. However, targeted support remains critical for safeguarding the industry and its vital contribution to energy access and other development goals.
  • Data from July – December 2020 reveals that off-grid solar lighting sales grew by 19% compared to the first half of the year, totaling 3.6 million products sold. Yet sales are still at the lowest level since 2015 and progress is far from the rate needed to achieve universal electrification targets by 2030.
  • Looking at 2020 as a whole, the drop in sales due to the impacts of COVID-19 resulted in an estimated 10 – 15 million people and 300,000 – 450,000 enterprises missing out on improved energy access.
  • Appliance sales, meanwhile, plateaued at 470,000, with numbers remaining stable compared to July – December 2019 but failing to reach the levels of growth anticipated before the global health and economic crisis.
  • Exploring the two largest regional markets:
    • In sub-Saharan Africa (SSA), sales of lighting products in the second half of 2020 were only 4% below the levels seen in the second half of 2019, but regionally and nationally there was significant diversity.
    • In contrast to the more positive overall picture in SSA, sales of off-grid lighting in South Asia remained 43% lower than those seen in the second half of 2019.
    • Sales of appliances meanwhile dipped in SSA, but grew by 29% in South Asia.
  • Nationally there is diversity in the ways the pandemic and other key dynamics have affected off-grid markets. A link between positive actions and more resilient sales and impact is observed. For example, signs of recovery are more commonly seen in markets where there has been strong government support for the sector or programmatic/investor interventions.
  • Policymakers, development partners and investors must build from these lessons and develop targeted approaches to support the industry to meet energy access targets and play its part in driving a sustainable recovery from the COVID-19 pandemic.

 

 Download previous sales and impact data reports: H1 2020 | H2 2019 | H1 2019 | H2 2018 | H1 2018 | H2 2017 | H1 2017 | H2 2016 | H1 2016 | H2 2015.

 

2020下半年全球离网太阳能市场报告

 

每六个月,点亮全球和全球离网太阳能协会(GOGLA)都会进行《全球离网太阳能市场报告》发布,该系列报告记录了由 GOGLA 和点亮全球项目合作方的离网太阳能照明产品的销售和影响力市场数据。2018下半年以来,报告还增加了与接入效能联盟(The Efficiency for Access Coalition)合作的离网电器的销售数据。

2020年7月 – 12月全球离网太阳能市场报告

 

  • 离网行业已开始从新冠肺炎疫情引发的经济冲击中缓慢复苏,但这种复苏并不均衡。为保护该行业,保障其对能源获取及其他发展目标的重要贡献,专项支持仍然至关重要。
  • 2020年7月 – 12月的数据显示,与上半年相比,离网太阳能照明产品的销售额增长了19%,共售出360万件产品。尽管如此,其销量仍处于2015年以来的最低水平,距离到2030年实现电力普及的目标实现仍相距甚远。
  • 从2020年整体来看,因受新冠肺炎疫情影响,销售额下降,约1000万至1500万人口以及30万至45万家企业因此错失改善能源获取条件的机会。
  • 与此同时,电器销售量稳定在47万件,与2019年7月至12月持平,但未能达到全球卫生和经济危机前的预期增长水平。
  • 两个最大地区市场的情况:
    • 在撒哈拉以南的非洲地区,2020下半年的离网照明产品销售额较2019下半年仅降低4%,但地区间和全国范围内存在显著差异。
    • 与撒哈拉以南非洲相对乐观的情况对比之下,南亚地区的离网照明产品销售额仍比2019下半年低43%。
    • 与此同时,撒哈拉以南非洲地区的电器销售额有所下降,南亚地区的销售额增长了29%。
  • 从全国来看,疫情和其他关键因素影响离网市场的方式各不相同。我们发现,积极采取行动可以带来不一样的销售结果。例如,当政府大力支持相关行业,或实施计划性干预和投资者干预时,市场的复苏速度更快。
  • 政策制定者、开发合作伙伴和投资者必须吸取经验教训,制定有针对性的方案来帮助离网行业实现能源接入目标,发挥其积极影响,推动行业走出新冠肺炎疫情影响,实现可持续复苏。

 

下载往期销售和影响力数据报告:H1 2020 | H2 2019 | H1 2019 | H2 2018 | H1 2018 | H2 2017 | H1 2017 | H2 2016 | H1 2016 | H2 2015.